Winning in AMTA is all about talent, coaching and the ability to beat good teams. You can’t be number one at anything by just beating mediocre teams. Based on that:
Three great teams being overlooked even though they are going to be amazing:
Georgetown. This team was within a one ballot of the final round. Ryan Guptil is awesome. I’ve seen him in trial three times. Georgetown split with UCLA, the team most people thought was the best. Georgetown won its regional, dominated its ORC, and got two teams to Des Moines. They are going to be even better this year. They’re motivated and ready to win. I wouldn’t be surprised if they make the final round in Memphis.
Miami. This team is really good. They are coached by Dan Hoy and Dan Heronn, two of the greatest coaches in AMTA. They are also coached by Hilton and Iowa’s coach Neil Schuett. Plus the students are excellent. Everyone is coming back. Pavel and Gus are an unstoppable combination. Both of the Miami teams won at least 4 ballots at Iowa championship last year; if they combine/stack those teams this year, that could be 8 ballots. Plus the year of experience will make all of their returners better.
Harvard. They took a year off and now they’re back. Their coaches will have them motivated. This year they will destroy everyone at ORCS and Memphis. They will play either Miami, Georgetown, George Washington, Bellarmine, UCLA, NYU, Furman, Virginia, or Iowa in the final round.
Three teams people are hyping only because they haven’t seen them, but will fall flat on their faces:
Columbia. I’ve seen them and they’re so overrated. Okay, so Vines is good. Then what? Can anyone even name a second person at Columbia? Mia Eisner-Greenberg is a good coach but you need to have talent. There is a reason this team lost to Northwood at Des Moines last year by 26. 26! This team might get better but it won’t get 26 points better. Even Vines didn’t win an all-American last year. You can’t build a team around one person. If they only go 6-2 at Penn State there is no way they will beat the good teams. They don’t have the talent.
UC-Irvine. I’ve seen them and they’re even just as overrated. The reason they win so many individual awards is that it’s easy to stand out when you’re teammates aren’t very good. They don’t have the talent. The worst kept secret in AMTA is that this team is poorly coached and only beats bad teams. Can anyone name a good team they’ve beaten? I’m sure they will get to Memphis by beating soft easy teams, and then get thrashed by the real contenders.
MTSU. I’ve seen them and they’re terrible (and not very physically attractives). My team crushed them last season (judges split but one of the judges was an idiot). Has anyone actually seen this team? Can anyone named a good team they’ve beaten? Another poorly coached team that only beats bad teams. This team might be talented but still. Overrated.
Bonus prediction:
Brown. This team could go either way. They could be excellent or terrible, no way to know until the tournaments start.